Michigan
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 94.4636Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 14- 7 210 H Detroit Mercy NEC ( 3-10, 85.7) 11- 7 214 H Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 13-14 221 N Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 11-13 228 A Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.7) 9-15 307 N Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.7) 7-17 314 A Notre Dame ACC (10- 2, 99.9) 4- 9 321 A Johns Hopkins B1G ( 9- 5, 96.5) 8-14 328 H Maryland B1G ( 7- 6, 97.6) 8-14 405 H Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.1) 13-10 411 A Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.2) 9- 8 417 A Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.7) 8- 9 425 A Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.7) 11- 8 430 N Johns Hopkins B1G ( 9- 5, 96.5) 12-14 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Marquette 14- 7 7 2 ++ 5.47
210 H Detroit Mercy 11- 7 4 10 - -3.00
214 H Lehigh 13-14 -1 1 - -2.10
221 N Army West Point 11-13 -2 -4 1.58
228 A Denver 9-15 -6 -2 -- -4.44
307 N Harvard 7-17 -10 -2 -- -4.81
314 A Notre Dame 4- 9 -5 -7 1.81
321 A Johns Hopkins 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.64
328 H Maryland 8-14 -6 -2 -- -4.28
405 H Rutgers 13-10 3 2 1.29
411 A Penn State 9- 8 1 -6 +++ 7.15
417 A Ohio State 8- 9 -1 -3 1.56
425 A Ohio State 11- 8 3 -3 ++ 5.56
430 N Johns Hopkins 12-14 o -2 -2 -0.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Denver 9-15 -6 -2 -- -4.44 307 N Harvard 7-17 -10 -2 -- -4.81 328 H Maryland 8-14 -6 -2 -- -4.28 210 H Detroit Mercy 11- 7 4 10 - -3.00 214 H Lehigh 13-14 -1 1 - -2.10 321 A Johns Hopkins 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Penn State 9- 8 1 -6 +++ 7.15 207 A Marquette 14- 7 7 2 ++ 5.47 425 A Ohio State 11- 8 3 -3 ++ 5.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 14- 7 -8.34 12.26 1.38 1.02 27.88
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 3-10, 85.7) 11- 7 -14.20 6.40 -1.38 1.02 10.27
3 H Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 13-14 -5.16 15.43 -1.38 1.02 -3.34
3 N Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 11-13 -1.86 18.74 -0.00 1.02 -0.95
3 A Denver ( 6- 8, 94.7) 9-15 -5.25 15.35 1.38 1.02 -1.98
3 N Harvard ( 9- 5, 96.7) 7-17 -3.24 17.35 -0.00 1.02 -1.66
3 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 99.9) 4- 9 -0.00 20.60 1.38 1.02 -0.70
3 A Johns Hopkins ( 9- 5, 96.5) 8-14 -3.45 17.15 1.38 1.02 -1.06
3 H Maryland ( 7- 6, 97.6) 8-14 -2.34 18.25 -1.38 1.02 -1.90
3 H Rutgers ( 8- 7, 94.1) 13-10 -5.77 14.82 -1.38 1.02 27.50
3 A Penn State ( 9- 5, 99.2) 9- 8 -0.67 19.93 1.38 1.02 43.56
3 A Ohio State (10- 4, 95.7) 8- 9 -4.25 16.35 1.38 1.02 -1.47
3 A Ohio State (10- 4, 95.7) 11- 8 -4.25 16.35 1.38 1.02 36.24
3 N Johns Hopkins ( 9- 5, 96.5) 12-14 -3.45 17.15 -0.00 1.02 -1.76
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130.62
|
winning pts = 145.4467 losing points = -14.8270
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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